Placeholder Picture
Members see more than history. Get today's ADI's, VMI's and detailed reports.
Placeholder Picture
Placeholder Picture
Placeholder Picture
Placeholder Picture

MLB 2020 in Retrospect

Posted: 2020-12-03 10:18:15 (ET)    [ 368 views ]

Pitch-Mix Rating


For 2021 we are going to attempt to expand the capability of VMI's Pitch-Mix "Rating."  I couldn't come up with a more suitable name for the calculation we introduced in 2018. The Pitch-Mix is extremely important in baseball from high school competition through the professional ranks.  As you, as well as, everyone experienced with playing or observing the sport knows, a pitcher must change the speed, trajectory and location of his pitches or the hitter will make him pay.  So, our pitch-mix formula looks at:

1) which pitch is the pitcher's primary or go to pitch

2) which pitch does he use to create groundball outs;

3) the type of pitch he uses for "off-plate" variation and;

4) the balance of his repertoire. 

The number of pitches of each type he typically delivers allows us to identify him as a Tight, Loose, Reverse, or Knuckleball pitcher.  See "Detailed Match-Ups" for a description of each.  The Rating we are refering to, is a calculated number showing precisely how strongly he holds to the identifying Pitch-Mix type.  

What I think we experienced during the 2020 shortened season at VMI and Baseball Tout. 

VMI was not really fazed by the issues brought to MLB by Covid-19 and the ensuing shortened season.  In fact VMI is about the only way one can gauge the difference between a league that normally travels both regionally and nationally and a season in which there were three separate conferences, each of which, traveled only regionally.  

We are thrilled to have this data for VMI, but not so thrilled about how it affected Tout.  VMI's only surprise this year was the number of cancelled, rescheduled and additional double-header games.  We did not originally set up our system to be able to record two games' data by the same teams on the same day.  So, this year we had to record the data from only 1 game between the same two teams.  When MLB chose to name the visiting team the home team for game #2 it could not be recorded by us without creating defects in the home team data. 

As I commented in my last article, BaseballTout was affected more severely, so we will not be able to prove our website functionality and effectiveness from the shortened season.   Tout picks were incorrect by an unacceptable percentage in all categories except those picked "against" the book in the "Silver Picks" category and (if one would have) hung-in-there, long enough and bet on "all games" would have ended up with a small return on investment at an overall win percentage of 56.7%.  From the games we were able to record, the book on those games achieved a 62.07 percentage, so Las Vegas beat us badly.  

The "Silver Picks" category in seasons past has shown the best potential return on investment of all the others and the 2020 Season followed suit.   This category achieved only 56.76% which is only enough to lose money for the bettor.  Only the picks against Las Vegas book in the Silver category at 50% would have made a little money as there were only 4 games in that category, two of which would have generated a small profit after paying the Tout fees.  In 2019, that figure would have been $1400.00 at 78.79%.  We are confident that figure will return for the next full season.  

So, we await the next season and are eagerly looking forward to spring training and April 2021.  

 

Enter comments below:

Your Email:
Validation Code from Graphic:
Enter these characters in the field above.


(Comments subject to review before being published.)


 

Article Summary

PostedArticle TitlePopularity
2020-12-03 MLB 2020 in Retrospect

2020-11-03 Shortened MLB Season Wrap-Up

2020-10-28 We have a MLB world champion - 2020
2020-10-14
2020-10-03 Results of the First Round
2020-09-29 First Round of Post-Season Play
2020-09-13 Update on Picks VIA BaseballTout
2020-08-27 Today is a good day to update

2020-08-21 Update on Picks VIA BaseballTout
2020-08-08 Bronze Picks are Currently Leading Silver Picks ...

2020-08-08 Starting Pitcher Warnings for Today
2020-08-06 Second Week Looks Much Better for BaseballTout

2020-07-31 How is BaseballTout Coming Along?

2020-07-10 BaseballTout.com is now available

2020-06-09 How Will MLB Plans Affect VMI?

2020-06-07 How will MLB's new plans affect the validity of ...
2020-02-13 Welcome to Spring Training - 2020

2019-12-04 Re-Posted: ADI--VMI Outlook for 2020

2019-11-02 ADI--VMI Outlook for 2020

2019-10-31 Washington Nationals World Champs

2019-10-05 MLB Winding Down - - NBA Gearing Up

2019-09-15 Higher VMI's pattern contrasted with Lower VMI's...

2019-08-14 I'm Breaking My Promise

2019-08-02 VMI Production in the Smallest of Ranges

2019-07-30 August and September are Absolutely Weird in MLB...

2019-07-27 Mental Issues Lead to Analysis by VMI - and Intr...

2019-07-12 Pitcher-Type Rating on Detailed Match-ups

2019-07-08 How Will a Dome in Arlington Change Competition ...

2019-06-22 Pitcher-Type Rating on Detailed Match-ups

2019-05-31 The Mental Side of Hitting That VMI Isolates

2019-05-16 Follow-Up 3 to BaseballVMI - Intro

2019-05-07 Follow-Up 2 Introduction to Baseball VMI

2019-04-23 Follow-Up Intro to BaseballVMI

2019-03-28 Where Did VMI Come From?

2019-03-27 Team VMIs and ADIs for Opening Day

2019-03-24 Tracking the Teams VMI

2019-03-13 Which is more important eye imagination, or hand...

2019-03-02 More Ideas For Data Mining ADI/VMI

2019-02-07 Wanting to see all our website features and data...

2019-01-23 Retractable Roof in Arlington Park - 2020

Placeholder Picture

© 2020 Air Resistance Technologies, Inc., All Rights Reserved.

BaseballVMI.com, 1326 51st Avenue, Greeley, CO. 80634

Terms & Conditions  |  Sitemap